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Chumachenko S.I., Mayuk D.N.
"MODEL of LONG-TERM FORECASTING of DYNAMICS of INDICATORS of NATURAL FIRE DANGER TO the ZONE of the TAIGA AND the MIXED WOODS of the EUROPEAN PART of RUSSIA. KEY PARAMETERS of MODEL"
Natural fire danger depends on category of lands, age of planting, type of the wood, the prevailing wood breed, accompanying tree species, completeness of plantings, existence fire-dangerous small trees and an underbrush, dead wood and zakhlamlennost existence, remoteness from expensively general using. On the basis of the offered approach the mathematical and imitating model of dynamics of natural fire danger which in aggregate with the FORRUS-S model, will allow to receive a forecast of change of natural fire danger at different scenarios of forest management for the long period of time will be developed conceptual model, and then.
List of keywords: natural fire danger, model, dynamics, scenarios of forest management
Subject: 06.03.03 - "Agrolesomelioratsiya, protective lesorazvedeniye and gardening of settlements, forest fires and fight against them";
03.02.08-"Ecology"
UDC: 630 |
Recieved: 02.11.2012
Article is available on:
[russian]
Format: DOC |
Size, Kb (russian / english): 15 / 0
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